Elgin Pocket Watch: Serial Number 31311833 (Grade 478)

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Information Provided by PocketWatchDatabase.com:
https://pocketwatchdatabase.com/search/result/elgin/31311833

Access Date: November 27, 2024

From the American Horology Archive:

Elgin National Watch Co.

Grade: 478

B.W. Raymond

Manufacturer:	Elgin
Manufacturer Location:	Elgin, Illinois
Movement Serial Number:	31311833
Grade:	478
Variation:	B.W. Raymond
Model:	15
Estimated Production Year:	1928
Run Quantity:	2,000
Grade/Model Run:	57 of 91
Grade/Model Total Production:	185,400
Variant Est. Production:	171,400 (16S-M15-21J-ONL-A5PTI)
Size:	16s
Jewels:	21j
Movement Configuration:	Openface
Movement Finish:	Nickel
Movement Signing Style:	Mixed
Movement Inlay Color:	Other
Movement Setting:	Lever
Plate:	3/4 Plate
Barrel:	Going
Train:	Quick
Regulator:	Ball
Adjusted:	Yes
Adjusted to Position:	Yes
Adjusted # of Positions:	5
Adjusted to Temperature:	Yes
Adjusted to Isochronism:	Yes
Railroad Grade:	Yes
Wind Indicator Available:	Yes
Wind Indicator Present:	Yes
U.S. Patents:	77078, 596407, 596408
Movement Markings:	B.W. Raymond Elgin Nat'l Watch Co. U.S.A. 21 Jewels Adjusted 5 Positions
Case:	Various
Run ID:	13579.478G57.16S3496.1615M291.O6352.L2407.21J402
Data Research:	1927/1950 Elgin Serial List
Database Version:	v52.467
Advanced Metrics
PWDB Absolute Rarity Index: Scoped for Grade/Size/Model/Configuration	558.20
PWDB Relative Rarity Index: Rarity within Manufacturer - Scoped for Grade/Size/Model/Configuration	215.65
Share of Production: Share within Manufacturer - Scoped for Grade/Size/Model/Configuration	0.366%
Registry Population: Scoped for This Run Only	26 (1.30%)
$ Estimated Value (12 Month Change):	11.65% Analyzing 1,569 Sales
Research Note: #31311977 Verified as Featuring an "Elgin Avion" WI Dial. #31312994: Verified with Wind Indicator [JH]

Value Guide

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Production Metrics Tree: Grade 478

Target Profile: 16S-M15-21J-ONL-A5PTI-B.W. RAYMOND

Elgin Grade 478 (All Variations): 185,400 ETP
16S: 185,400 100.00% 16s, Grade 478
16S-M15: 185,400 100.00% 16s, Grade 478, Model 15
16S-M15-21J: 185,400 100.00% 16s, Grade 478, Model 15, 21 Jewels
16S-M15-21J-ONL: 173,400 93.53% 16s, Grade 478, Model 15, 21 Jewels, Openface/Lever/Nickel		Other: 12,000 Other Configs or Unclassified
16S-M15-21J-ONL-A5PTI: 171,400 92.45%	Other: 2,000 Other Adjustments or Unclassified
16S-M15-21J-ONL-A5PTI-B.W. RAYMOND: 171,400 92.45%

Population Registry for This Run

	Image	Serial Number	Run Position	Primary Identification Method	Discovery Date
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Verification Reports for this Run

The following reports have been graciously submitted by dedicated members in reference to this production run. These reports are useful to verify data and track inaccuracies that require further research. Please note that reports may contain inaccurate information or assumptions that must be dilligently considered with other available sources.